BFAP Baseline

Decisive Action to Forge a Sustainable Future

Driving meaningful change within the African agricultural landscape

16 August 2023
at 14h00



Prof Ferdi Meyer
Managing Director (BFAP)

As agricultural economist, Ferdi has more than 20 years of experience, specialising in the agricultural market, trade – and policy modelling and analyses, value chain analytics, strategic foresight and scenario planning. He was a founding member of BFAP in 2004 and as managing director, his passion lies in motivating people and growing institutions and businesses with strong national and international networks. Ferdi serves on various boards of firms, frequently appears as an invited speaker on national and international platforms and holds a position as Professor Extraordinary in the Department of Agricultural Economics at the University of Stellenbosch.

Dr Tracy Davids
Director and Manager of Commodity Markets & Foresight (BFAP)

An established specialist in agricultural market analysis, Tracy is a Director and leads the Commodity Markets and Foresight program at BFAP. Her research focus includes commodity market modelling, price formation and spatial price relationships, competitiveness and international trade. Tracy has an extensive record of international collaboration, contributing regularly to international market outlook publications and conferences. She has a consistent publication record in peer reviewed journals and is currently also a Research Fellow at Stellenbosch University. She obtained a PhD in agricultural economics from the University of Pretoria in 2018.

Dr Mmatlou Kalaba
Director and Senior Analyst of Commodity

Mmatlou is a senior analyst, BFAP director, and research fellow at Stellenbosch University. His focus areas include international trade and agricultural policy. He was previously with the University of Pretoria as senior lecturer. Mmatlou supervised PhD and Masters students and furthermore has publications covering topics such as non-tariff measures, climate change, information communication technology, regional trade agreements, and policy reforms.

Dr Julian Binfield
Director of International Programs

Julian Binfield is responsible for the coordination of FAPRI-MU’s international projects. Much of this work is done using a model of the EU developed in conjunction with the FAPRI-Ireland Partnership with Teagasc, the Irish Food and Rural Development Authority and the FAPRI-UK project with the Agri-Food Biosciences Institute in Belfast. Other international projects include collaborating with the Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP) in South Africa and with the Center for Agricultural Policy Analysis (CAPA) at the Institute of Agricultural Economics in Bulgaria. Julian also maintains FAPRI’s global dairy model.

Prior to joining FAPRI-MU in 2001, Julian spent four years working at Teagasc in Dublin, Ireland, where he was responsible for constructing an econometric model of the livestock sector. He has a bachelor’s degree in Economics and Agricultural Economics from the University of Manchester, a master’s degree in Agricultural Economics from the University of Reading, and a PhD in Agricultural Economics from the University of Missouri. During the course of his research, Julian has analysed a wide variety of domestic and trade policies related to the agriculture and food sector, including biofuels, primarily through the simulation of partial equilibrium dynamic economic models.

Panel Discussion


Wandile Sihlobo, Chief Economist, Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (agbiz)


  • Mooketsa Ramasodi, Director General, Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
  • Johann Kotze, CEO, South African Pork Producers Organisation
  • Thabi Nkosi, Non-Executive Chairman, Land Bank
  • Gerhard van der Burgh, Senior Analyst, BFAP 

Loffie Brandt
Head: Sales Enablement (ABSA AgriBusiness)

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10 Year outlook for South African agriculture

The BFAP Baseline is an annual event that presents a 10-year outlook for South African agriculture, agro-processing production, consumption, prices and trade. It considers the performance of South African agriculture and agro-processing and their contribution to inclusive growth and economic prosperity in the South African economy.

The 2023 edition, generated by BFAP’s integrated modelling system, will present an outlook of the agricultural industry in South Africa for the period 2023 to 2032 and will delve into crucial aspects such as a stable and conducive policy and investment environment, comprehensive infrastructure development and services, including electricity, roads, and water with well-functioning municipalities, efficient farmer support programs, and complete and effective state services.

This year, we also celebrate BFAP’s 20th anniversary!


The programme





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